Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.584167 2.754500 2.935660 3.143587 3.376785 3.631609 3.932985
2026-02-08 2.264096 2.488348 2.739506 3.044712 3.409882 3.838537 4.388775
2026-02-15 2.106155 2.359783 2.653398 3.023979 3.487623 4.060777 4.843928
2026-02-22 1.975475 2.245657 2.566413 2.983405 3.524182 4.222082 5.228817
2026-03-01 1.847154 2.122072 2.454553 2.896484 3.485604 4.272135 5.458134
2026-03-08 1.732422 2.006679 2.343212 2.798489 3.419077 4.271213 5.605598
2026-03-15 1.670102 1.952109 2.303775 2.789071 3.467681 4.430614 6.008756
2026-03-22 1.613864 1.901487 2.265318 2.776442 3.508039 4.578537 6.411781
2026-03-29 1.566203 1.858989 2.234304 2.770496 3.555297 4.738635 6.856934
2026-04-05 1.550571 1.856876 2.255901 2.837874 3.713830 5.086447 7.692738
2026-04-12 1.511798 1.822014 2.230857 2.836218 3.766488 5.267510 8.253275
2026-04-19 1.527801 1.860664 2.307865 2.987005 4.068379 5.905413 9.886408
2026-04-26 1.454786 1.778596 2.216746 2.888508 3.972759 5.852233 10.070403
2026-05-03 1.387551 1.702569 2.131702 2.795617 3.881248 5.800404 10.260568
2026-05-10 1.348869 1.664162 2.098048 2.778611 3.913969 5.983589 11.072176
2026-05-17 1.307613 1.620436 2.054506 2.743114 3.911245 6.096948 11.744968
2026-05-24 1.257523 1.562528 1.987872 2.667294 3.831707 6.046131 11.953379
2026-05-31 1.207556 1.503290 1.917175 2.581554 3.728602 5.935884 11.964414
2026-06-07 1.182124 1.478014 1.895505 2.573302 3.763696 6.118856 12.928499
2026-06-14 1.157447 1.452937 1.873012 2.562232 3.792331 6.291704 13.941173
2026-06-21 1.135720 1.431352 1.854810 2.557018 3.831083 6.492520 15.156124
2026-06-28 1.131585 1.434960 1.874639 2.616043 3.996949 7.015160 17.947538
2026-07-05 1.112623 1.416240 1.859450 2.614593 4.044466 7.262298 19.804621